Tempers
are flaring on Facebook these days about the election. In particular, the Trumpers and Hillary crowd
are at each others’ throats, and the Johnson camp – myself included – have been
caught in the crossfire. Even nominal
Libertarians are pulled in to vote for Trump or Hillary instead of
Johnson. At this point I don’t believe
my blog will change anyone’s mind, but I do feel some points are worth making.
GOP
Victories. Obama won handily in 2008
and 2012 against McCain and Romney. Not
landslides, but not razor-thin margins.
George W. Bush’s victories against Gore (2000) and Kerry (2004) were
razor-thin, even to the point where recounts were necessary. For his part, Bill Clinton easily beat George
H.W. Bush in 1992 and Bob Dole in 1996. The
last overwhelming GOP victory was in 1988:
Bush Sr. vs. Dukakis. Let that
sink in.
Neither
major party has enough hardcore voters to carry the election by
themselves. Appealing to independents
and moderates is a must. So picking a
candidate that ONLY your side likes is a recipe for failure. The Democrats did it in 1988, and the GOP has
been doing it ever since 1992.
Good
vs. Evil. A few weeks ago I discussed
Machiavelli, and “The Enemy Within” episode of Star Trek, the Original Series,
in which Kirk and Spock agreed that a starship captain needs some evil in him
to be effective. Ronald Reagan we could
call 60/40 (good/evil), while Jimmy Carter was probably 90/10. What’s the right balance? Ideally over 50 on the good, but 60-75 is
probably the max. Beyond that, you wind
up with a President who is too good for his own good, too naïve, and even with
the benefit of experienced advisors, may still be too trusting of foreign
leaders. With dangerous bastards like
Vladimir Putin out there, we need someone who can compete on his terms. My impression is that Hillary will lock horns
with him – and NOT necessarily effectively - while Trump would sell out the
country if he could make a profit on the deal.
His loyalty to anyone outside his own family is nonexistent.
Remember
Spielberg’s movie “Lincoln”? Abraham
Lincoln is probably our most esteemed and virtuous President. Yet even he showed some very clever guile and
duplicity behind the scenes. My
impression is that Spielberg wanted to show us that even with that, Lincoln was
still a good President and a good man – but that there was more to him than we
give him credit for.
Among
the current candidates, Hillary Clinton is probably no better than 50/50, and
most likely 40/60. She falls below the
threshold of good vs. evil.
Disqualified? Maybe, but Donald
Trump is more like 5/95. Finding any
trace of good in this man is almost impossible.
Whatever good he has is reserved for his immediate family, and the
country does not qualify.
Gary
Johnson looks similar to Carter in this regard.
I don’t see a whole lot of cynicism or guile, but there is some
there. And Weld probably has
enough. So in addition to their superior
platforms, and both being former state governors – the highest ranking
executives in this country short of President – I’d say they meet the
requirements. Barely.
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